Why small meta-analyses miss publication bias

Original Title

P-value driven methods were underpowered to detect publication bias: analysis of Cochrane review meta-analyses.

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Summary

When scientists combine studies to get a better answer, they use special tests to check if some studies are missing. But these tests don’t work well when there are only a few studies.

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Surprising Findings

P-values suggest more bias just because more studies are included—even when there is no actual bias.

Most people assume a more significant p-value means stronger evidence of bias, but here, the significance increases purely due to sample size, not effect. This contradicts the intuitive interpretation of p-values.

Practical Takeaways

Be skeptical of publication bias tests in meta-analyses with fewer than 20 studies.

low confidence

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