Which math method best guesses the real answer from many small studies?

Original Title

A Comparative Evaluation of Psychometric Meta‐Analysis Methods in Management and Applied Psychology: Toward a Nuanced Understanding of Their Accuracy

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Summary

Scientists made fake data to test five ways of combining study results to find the true effect. They checked which method guessed best.

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Surprising Findings

The most widely used method (Schmidt and Hunter RE) is not the most accurate, despite its popularity.

It contradicts the assumption that widely adopted scientific methods are also the most optimal — suggests inertia in methodological practice.

Practical Takeaways

Researchers should consider using blended random-effects meta-analysis with random-effects weights, particularly the Schmidt and Hunter (2015)-based version, for slightly more accurate estimates.

low confidence

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