If there aren’t enough individuals left after a shock, the population can’t recover—even if the stress was small. The model says starting size matters a lot.
Scientific Claim
In overcompensation models, the baseline population size is a critical determinant of whether a stressor leads to rebound or collapse.
Original Statement
“highlighting the importance of strong growth or regenerative capabilities, overcompensatory responses (strong nonlinearity), mild external stimuli (weak stressors) and the baseline population size.”
Evidence Quality Assessment
Claim Status
overstated
Study Design Support
Design cannot support claim
Appropriate Language Strength
probability
Can suggest probability/likelihood
Assessment Explanation
The claim implies baseline size is a biological determinant, but the study only observes this in simulations. No empirical support exists.
More Accurate Statement
“In mathematical overcompensation models, baseline population size is associated with the likelihood of rebound versus collapse following stress under simulated conditions.”
Evidence from Studies
Supporting (1)
Hormesis and hydra effects revealed by intraspecific overcompensation models and dose-response curves.
The study shows that how many individuals are in a population at the start can decide whether it bounces back stronger after a stressor or crashes—so starting with the right number matters a lot.