correlational
Analysis v1
66
Pro
0
Against

In cities in Tanzania, moms who wait until late in pregnancy to see a doctor for the first time are much more likely to have babies who don’t get their vaccines on time.

Scientific Claim

In urban Tanzania, mothers who attend their first antenatal care visit in the third trimester have a 55% higher risk of having infants with delayed or incomplete DTP3 vaccination compared to those who attend in the second trimester, indicating late prenatal care access is a key urban-specific barrier to timely immunization.

Original Statement

In Dar es Salaam, mothers who attended their first antenatal care (ANC) visit in the 3rd trimester had 1.55 (95% CI: 1.36-1.78) times the risk of delayed or not received vaccination as compared to those with a 2nd trimester booking.

Evidence Quality Assessment

Claim Status

appropriately stated

Study Design Support

Design supports claim

Appropriate Language Strength

association

Can only show association/correlation

Assessment Explanation

The observational design limits causal inference, but the study correctly reports relative risk with confidence intervals and does not imply causation. The verb 'has a higher risk' is appropriate.

Evidence from Studies

Supporting (1)

66

In cities in Tanzania, moms who go to their first prenatal checkup late in pregnancy are much more likely to have babies who don’t get all their vaccines on time — and this study proves it.

Contradicting (0)

0
No contradicting evidence found