Analysis Version
v1
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Back to Study: Changes in body weight and body fat distribution a...
correlational
Analysis v1
47
Pro
0
Against

Middle-aged men who gain 14.6 cm or more around their waist have 1.7 times the risk of diabetes, even when their overall weight change is considered. This finding is from the abstract summary - full study details were not available

Scientific Claim

A waist circumference increase of ≥14.6 cm is associated with a 1.7-fold higher risk of diabetes in middle-aged US men after accounting for weight gain.

Original Statement

“Compared with men who had a stable waist, men who increased waist circumference by 14.6 cm or more had 1.7 (95% confidence interval: 1.0, 2.8) times the risk of diabetes after controlling for weight gain.”

From study:Changes in body weight and body fat distribution as risk factors for clinical diabetes in US men.

Evidence Quality Assessment

Claim Status

appropriately stated

Study Design Support

Design supports claim

Appropriate Language Strength

association

Can only show association/correlation

Assessment Explanation

The phrase 'times the risk' is commonly used in epidemiology for relative risk in association studies, so it's appropriately stated.

Evidence from Studies

Supporting (1)

47
47

Changes in body weight and body fat distribution as risk factors for clinical diabetes in US men.

Cohort Study
Human
2004 Jun 15

Contradicting (0)

0
No contradicting evidence found

Source Study

Changes in body weight and body fat distribution as risk factors for clinical diabetes in US men.

Score: 47
DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwh167

Similar Assertions

Increased waist circumference is associated with a higher risk of metabolic disease and mortality, independent of total body weight.

48
59
81%

Gaining fat around the abdomen increases diabetes risk in middle-aged men, even when considering overall weight changes. This finding is from the abstract summary - full study details were not available

47
0
75%

Having a larger waist circumference is the main indicator of metabolic syndrome risk in adults from middle-income countries.

42
0
73%

For every extra kilogram of weight gained, middle-aged men have a 7.3% higher chance of developing diabetes. This finding is from the abstract summary - full study details were not available

47
0
73%

Older adults who lose more than 5% of their waist size are more likely to die within the study period compared to those whose waist size stays stable.

46
0
72%