Can a computer model predict heart disease deaths?
Statins and risk of incident diabetes: a collaborative meta-analysis of randomised statin trials.
Not medical advice. For informational purposes only. Always consult a healthcare professional. Terms
Surprising Findings
ROC analysis, typically used for diagnostic tests, was successfully applied to validate a long-term disease simulation model.
Most disease models rely only on survival curves; using ROC AUC (a measure of individual risk discrimination) is rare and innovative in this context.
Practical Takeaways
Policymakers and health systems could use models like CVD PREDICT to prioritize prevention programs for high-risk populations.
Not medical advice. For informational purposes only. Always consult a healthcare professional. Terms
Surprising Findings
ROC analysis, typically used for diagnostic tests, was successfully applied to validate a long-term disease simulation model.
Most disease models rely only on survival curves; using ROC AUC (a measure of individual risk discrimination) is rare and innovative in this context.
Practical Takeaways
Policymakers and health systems could use models like CVD PREDICT to prioritize prevention programs for high-risk populations.
Publication
Journal
Lancet
Year
2010
Authors
N. Sattar, D. Preiss, Heather Murray, P. Welsh, B. Buckley, A. de Craen, S. Seshasai, John J McMurray, Dilys J. Freeman, J. Jukema, Peter W Macfarlane, C. J. Packard, D. Stott, R. Westendorp, James Shepherd, Barry R Davis, S. Pressel, R. Marchioli, R. Marfisi, Aldo P Maggioni, L. Tavazzi, G. Tognoni, J. Kjekshus, T. Pedersen, T. Cook, Antonio M. Gotto, Michael Clearfield, J. R. Downs, Haruo Nakamura, Yasuo Ohashi, Kyoichi Mizuno, Kausik K. Ray, Ian Ford