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The Study

Associations of ultra-processed food consumption, circulating protein biomarkers, and risk of cardiovascular disease

In simple terms

This study watched a big group of people for many years and noticed that those who ate more ultra-processed foods (like chips, soda, and frozen meals) were more likely to get heart problems later. But it didn’t make people change their diets — so we can’t say the food definitely caused the problems, just that they tended to happen together.

60%

Analysis score

60/ 72

Maximum 72 for a cohort study.

Where the score came from

Reporting40
Methodology38
Publication100
Statistical77
Study type (basis of the score)
Cohort Study
Level 2b - Individual cohort study
What’s the bottom line?

This study looked at what people ate and whether they got heart problems later, focusing on foods like chips, soda, and frozen meals that are heavily processed.

Where does this study sit?

Reviews of RCTs (Meta-analyses)

Max 100

Randomized Trials

Max 90

Reviews of Cohort Studies

Max 85

Cohort Studies

Max 72

Reviews of Case-Control Studies

Max 63

Case-Control Studies

Max 58

Cross-Sectional & Case Series

Max 50

Expert Opinion

Max 5
StrongerWeaker
Cohort Studies
Level 2b
60

60 / 100

Quality score

Groups of people are followed over time to see who develops an outcome. Strong for identifying risk factors and associations, but cannot prove causation as firmly as RCTs.

Cannot establish causation

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Key takeaways

Summary

Based on the study abstract and findings.

  1. 1Yes — replacing just one bag of chips or soda per day with fruit or vegetables could meaningfully lower your heart disease risk over time.
  2. 2People who ate more ultra-processed foods (like 348g/day on average) had an 18% higher chance of heart disease over 24 years.
  3. 3Every extra 211g/day (about 1 bag of chips) raised heart disease risk by 7%.
  4. 4Swapping that amount for fresh food lowered risk by 6–7%.

Score breakdown, methodology, conflicts of interest, evidence analysis & raw study data

Publication

Journal

BMC Medicine

Year

2023

Authors

Huiping Li, Yaogang Wang, E. Sonestedt, Y. Borné

Open Access
24 citations
Analysis v5

Related Content

Claims (6)

Assertion

People who eat more ultra-processed foods have higher levels of ten specific biomarkers in their blood that indicate inflammation and blood vessel dysfunction.

Correlational
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Assertion

People who consume large amounts of animal protein and ultra-processed foods have higher levels of systemic inflammation and a higher incidence of autoimmune diseases and cardiovascular disease.

Mechanistic
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Assertion

People who eat more ultra-processed foods have a higher risk of developing cardiovascular disease over time, with each extra 211 grams per day increasing risk by 7%, even after accounting for other lifestyle and health factors.

Correlational
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Assertion

People who eat more ultra-processed foods have a higher risk of cardiovascular disease, regardless of their sex, age, body weight, smoking habits, physical activity, or blood pressure status.

Correlational
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Assertion

In adults, swapping 211 grams of ultra-processed foods daily with the same amount of unprocessed or minimally processed foods is linked to a 6% lower risk of cardiovascular disease, a 7% lower risk of coronary heart disease, and a 6% lower risk of ischemic stroke.

Correlational
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Assertion

People who eat more ultra-processed foods have a higher risk of cardiovascular disease, even when accounting for changes in diet due to illness, inaccurate dietary reporting, or early disease onset.

Correlational
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