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The Study

Artificial Sweeteners and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes in the Prospective NutriNet-Santé Cohort

In simple terms

This study watched a bunch of people over many years and noticed that those who drank more diet soda or ate more sugar-free snacks were more likely to get type 2 diabetes later. But it didn’t make anyone change what they ate — so we can’t say the sweeteners caused the diabetes, just that they tended to happen together.

59%

Analysis score

59/ 72

Maximum 72 for a cohort study.

Where the score came from

Reporting0
Methodology56
Publication100
Statistical77
Study type (basis of the score)
Cohort Study
Level 2b - Individual cohort study
What’s the bottom line?

This study looked at whether people who drink diet drinks or eat sugar-free foods with artificial sweeteners are more likely to get type 2 diabetes.

Where does this study sit?

Reviews of RCTs (Meta-analyses)

Max 100

Randomized Trials

Max 90

Reviews of Cohort Studies

Max 85

Cohort Studies

Max 72

Reviews of Case-Control Studies

Max 63

Case-Control Studies

Max 58

Cross-Sectional & Case Series

Max 50

Expert Opinion

Max 5
StrongerWeaker
Cohort Studies
Level 2b
59

59 / 100

Quality score

Groups of people are followed over time to see who develops an outcome. Strong for identifying risk factors and associations, but cannot prove causation as firmly as RCTs.

Cannot establish causation

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Key takeaways

Summary

Based on the study abstract and findings.

  1. 1Yes — even small daily amounts (like 1/3 of a soda) were linked to a big increase in diabetes risk, suggesting artificial sweeteners may not be a safe sugar substitute.
  2. 2People who ate more artificial sweeteners (like aspartame or acesulfame-K) had a 63% to 70% higher chance of getting type 2 diabetes over 9 years, even if they didn't gain weight.
  3. 3Switching from sugar to artificial sweeteners didn't lower their risk.

Score breakdown, methodology, conflicts of interest, evidence analysis & raw study data

Publication

Journal

Diabetes Care

Year

2023

Authors

C. Debras, M. Deschasaux-Tanguy, E. Chazelas, L. Sellem, N. Druesne-Pecollo, Y. Esseddik, F. Szabo de Edelenyi, C. Agaësse, A. De Sa, Rebecca Lutchia, C. Julia, E. Kesse‐Guyot, B. Allès, P. Galan, S. Hercberg, I. Huybrechts, E. Cosson, Sopio Tatulashvili, B. Srour, M. Touvier

Open Access
84 citations
Analysis v5

Related Content

Claims (6)

Assertion

People who consume artificial sweeteners above the median intake level for their sex have a higher incidence of type 2 diabetes compared to those who consume less.

Correlational
Read analysis
Assertion

Adults who consume more than 16.4 mg/day of artificial sweeteners if male or 18.5 mg/day if female have a 69% higher incidence of type 2 diabetes over 9.1 years compared to those who consume less, after accounting for weight change, diet, and other metabolic risk factors.

Correlational
Read analysis
Assertion

Adults who consumed more aspartame than the median daily amount for their sex had a 63% higher rate of developing type 2 diabetes over 9.1 years, compared to those who consumed less, after accounting for body weight and other dietary factors.

Correlational
Read analysis
Assertion

In a study of over 105,000 French adults, those who consumed more sucralose than the median amount for their sex had a 34% higher rate of developing type 2 diabetes over 9.1 years, though the strength of this link decreased in some statistical tests.

Correlational
Read analysis
Assertion

People who consumed more acesulfame-K than the median amount for their sex had a 70% higher rate of developing type 2 diabetes over 9.1 years compared to those who consumed less, even after accounting for body weight and other dietary factors.

Correlational
Read analysis
Assertion

Switching from sugar to artificial sweeteners in the diet does not lower the chance of developing type 2 diabetes.

Causal
Read analysis
Fit Body Science verdict — we translate health studies into clear verdicts backed by peer-reviewed research.

Not medical advice. For informational purposes only. Always consult a qualified healthcare professional before making health decisions.