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The Study

Greater Loss of Central Adiposity from Low-Carbohydrate versus Low-Fat Diet in Middle-Aged Adults with Overweight and Obesity

In simple terms

This study shows that people who chose a low-carb diet lost more belly fat than those who chose a low-fat diet, but we can't say for sure that the diet caused the difference because people picked their own diet. It's like noticing kids who pick broccoli eat healthier overall — maybe it's the broccoli, or maybe they just make healthier choices in general.

46%

Analysis score

46/ 90

Maximum 90 for a randomized controlled trial.

Where the score came from

Reporting0
Methodology37
Publication100
Statistical54
Study type (basis of the score)
Randomized Controlled Trial
Level 1b - Individual RCT
What’s the bottom line?

Grown-ups with extra weight tried two diets: one with very few carbs and lots of fat, and one with less fat and fewer calories. The low-carb diet shrank belly fat more, especially in people whose bodies didn’t handle sugar well.

Where does this study sit?

Reviews of RCTs (Meta-analyses)

Max 100

Randomized Trials

Max 90

Reviews of Cohort Studies

Max 85

Cohort Studies

Max 72

Reviews of Case-Control Studies

Max 63

Case-Control Studies

Max 58

Cross-Sectional & Case Series

Max 50

Expert Opinion

Max 5
StrongerWeaker
Randomized Trials
Level 1b
46

46 / 100

Quality score

Participants are randomly assigned to treatment or control groups, minimizing bias. The gold standard for testing whether an intervention causes an effect.

Cannot establish causation

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Key takeaways

Summary

Based on the study abstract and findings.

  1. 1Yes, especially for people with insulin resistance—losing more visceral fat can lower the risk of diabetes and heart disease.
  2. 2The low-carb diet reduced belly fat by 15.6% and deep belly fat by 18.5%.
  3. 3The low-fat diet reduced them by 8.3% and 5.1%.
  4. 4Both diets lost about the same total weight.
  5. 5The low-carb diet made insulin work better, the other made it worse.

Score breakdown, methodology, conflicts of interest, evidence analysis & raw study data

Publication

Journal

Nutrients

Year

2021

Authors

Valene Garr Barry, Mariah Stewart, T. Soleymani, R. Desmond, Amy M Goss, B. Gower

Open Access
9 citations
Analysis v5

Related Content

Claims (6)

Assertion

If you're middle-aged and your body doesn't respond well to insulin, cutting carbs and eating more fat might help you lose belly fat better than a low-fat diet. But if your body handles insulin normally, both diets work about the same for fat loss.

Correlational
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Assertion

For middle-aged people with extra weight, cutting carbs a lot might burn more belly fat — especially the dangerous kind around organs — even if you lose the same total weight as someone on a low-fat diet.

Quantitative
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Assertion

Cutting carbs works better than cutting fat if you're trying to manage insulin-related health problems like type 2 diabetes.

Causal
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Assertion

Eating fewer carbs and more fat—without counting calories—can help people lose about as much weight as eating less fat and cutting calories. This suggests that what you eat might matter just as much as how much you eat.

Quantitative
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Assertion

In middle-aged people who are overweight, eating fewer carbs and more fat for 15 weeks might help their body respond better to insulin, while cutting calories on a low-fat diet could actually make insulin work worse — and these changes happen even if both groups lose about the same amount of weight.

Quantitative
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Assertion

If you're a middle-aged adult with extra weight, eating either a low-carb high-fat diet or a low-fat diet with fewer calories can help you keep your muscle while losing weight over about 4 months.

Correlational
Read analysis
Fit Body Science verdict — we translate health studies into clear verdicts backed by peer-reviewed research.

Not medical advice. For informational purposes only. Always consult a qualified healthcare professional before making health decisions.