The Claim

In transgender women runners, age-graded performance scores show no significant difference before and after gender-affirming hormone therapy (83.1% vs 81.6%), suggesting that their relative competitive ability within their age group remains stable when transitioning from male to female categories, despite observed declines in absolute performance.

Source: Longitudinal Performance Changes in Transgender Women Athletes Pre and Post Gender Affirming Hormone Therapy

What the research says

Supports is higher

Support is ahead, but a single strong opposing study can change this.

Supports
44score
Challenges
0score

These are independent scores, not a percentage. Higher-grade studies count more, so a single strong opposing study can outweigh several weaker ones.

Quantitative
1 study reviewed
In plain English

Transgender women runners stay about as competitive in their age group after starting hormone therapy, even though their actual race times slow down a bit.

See the scientific wording

In transgender women runners, age-graded performance scores do not significantly differ before and after gender-affirming hormone therapy (83.1% vs 81.6%), indicating that relative competitive ability within their age group remains similar when transitioning from male to female categories, despite absolute performance declines.

What the research says

1 study
  1. Study: Longitudinal Performance Changes in Transgender Women Athletes Pre and Post Gender Affirming Hormone Therapy

    The study found that although transgender women ran slower after hormone therapy, their performance compared to others in their age group stayed about the same.

Score breakdown, mechanism chain, raw evidence, ideal studies needed & 1 supporting studies

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