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For older Chinese men, waist size is the best measure for predicting high triglycerides, but for women, BMI works better.

Scientific Claim

Waist circumference is the best predictor of elevated triglycerides in elderly Chinese males (AUC 0.648), while body mass index is the best predictor for females (AUC 0.615).

Original Statement

“Elevated TG: Male WC AUC 0.648 (highest), BMI 0.647; Female BMI AUC 0.615 (highest), WC 0.601.”

From study:Body mass index, waist circumference, and waist-to-height ratio for prediction of multiple metabolic risk factors in Chinese elderly population

Evidence Quality Assessment

Claim Status

appropriately stated

Study Design Support

Design supports claim

Appropriate Language Strength

association

Can only show association/correlation

Assessment Explanation

The study reports comparative predictive performance without causal claims; 'best predictor' is a statistical term appropriate for observational data.

More Accurate Statement

“Waist circumference is associated with the highest predictive ability for elevated triglycerides in elderly Chinese males (AUC 0.648), while body mass index shows the highest predictive ability for females (AUC 0.615).”

Evidence from Studies

Supporting (1)

42
42

Body mass index, waist circumference, and waist-to-height ratio for prediction of multiple metabolic risk factors in Chinese elderly population

Cross-Sectional Study
Human
2018 Jan 10

Contradicting (0)

0
No contradicting evidence found

Source Study

Body mass index, waist circumference, and waist-to-height ratio for prediction of multiple metabolic risk factors in Chinese elderly population

Score: 42
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-18854-1

Similar Assertions

For older Chinese women, body mass index and waist size are equally good at predicting multiple health risks, but waist-to-height ratio is slightly less accurate.

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For older Chinese men, a waist size of 83.5 cm is the best threshold to spot multiple health risks, while for women, it's 77.5 cm.

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For older Chinese men, measuring body mass index, waist size, or waist-to-height ratio all work about equally well to predict if someone has three or more health risks like high blood pressure or diabetes.

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Older Chinese people with high blood pressure who have a larger waist size (over 90 cm for men or 85 cm for women) are less likely to die from any cause compared to those with normal waist size.

59
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BMI is the best body measurement for predicting high blood pressure in older Chinese men and women compared to other measurements.

42
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70%