The Claim

Modeling projections suggest that a combined 30% reduction in consumption of both processed meat and unprocessed red meat is associated with an estimated 1,073,400 fewer cases of type 2 diabetes, 382,400 fewer cardiovascular disease events, 84,400 fewer colorectal cancer cases, and 62,200 fewer deaths over a 10-year period in the US adult population.

Source: Estimated effects of reductions in processed meat consumption and unprocessed red meat consumption on occurrences of type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, colorectal cancer, and mortality in the USA: a microsimulation study.

What the research says

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Quantitative
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In plain English

If most adults in the U.S. ate 30% less red and processed meat, models predict we could avoid over a million diabetes cases, hundreds of thousands of heart problems, and tens of thousands of cancers and deaths in 10 years.

See the scientific wording

A combined 30% reduction in both processed meat and unprocessed red meat consumption is associated in modeling projections with an estimated 1,073,400 fewer cases of type 2 diabetes, 382,400 fewer cardiovascular disease events, 84,400 fewer colorectal cancer cases, and 62,200 fewer deaths over 10 years in the US adult population.

What the research says

1 study
  1. Study: Estimated effects of reductions in processed meat consumption and unprocessed red meat consumption on occurrences of type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease, colorectal cancer, and mortality in the USA: a microsimulation study.

    The study looked at what would happen if people ate 30% less processed and red meat, and found it would prevent about the same number of diseases and deaths as the claim says.

Score breakdown, mechanism chain, raw evidence, ideal studies needed & 1 supporting studies

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