We just don’t know yet if light or heavy weights make muscles grow better — the results could swing either way in future studies, so we need more research.
Scientific Claim
The available evidence on muscle fiber hypertrophy from low-load and high-load resistance training is highly uncertain, with 95% prediction intervals ranging from -0.71 to 1.28 for type I fibers and -0.28 to 0.88 for type II fibers, indicating that future studies may find large beneficial or harmful effects in either direction.
Original Statement
“The 95% confidence and prediction intervals were very wide, suggesting that the true effect in the population and the effect reported in a future study conducted on this topic could be in different directions and anywhere from trivial to very large.”
Evidence Quality Assessment
Claim Status
appropriately stated
Study Design Support
Design supports claim
Appropriate Language Strength
association
Can only show association/correlation
Assessment Explanation
The claim directly reflects the authors’ own interpretation of prediction intervals, which are a valid statistical tool for expressing uncertainty. No overstatement is present.
Evidence from Studies
Supporting (1)
The Effects of Low-Load Vs. High-Load Resistance Training on Muscle Fiber Hypertrophy: A Meta-Analysis
This study found that lifting light weights and heavy weights might both make muscles grow similarly, but we can't be sure — future studies could show one is much better, much worse, or the same. The numbers show a big range of possible outcomes.