If you get equally tired from different workout routines, how much muscle you build might depend more on how tired you are than on how many sets or reps you do.
Evidence from Studies
Supporting (2)
Community contributions welcome
Low-Load Resistance Training to Volitional Failure Induces Muscle Hypertrophy Similar to Volume-Matched, Velocity Fatigue
The study found that lifting light weights to the point of exhaustion gives similar muscle growth as other hard workouts with the same total effort, which supports the idea that how tired you get matters more than how many reps you do.
The study compared different workout styles but made sure everyone did the same total amount of work. It found all styles built muscle equally, which suggests how tired you get matters more than the exact way you structure your sets.
Contradicting (1)
Community contributions welcome
The Resistance Training Dose Response: Meta-Regressions Exploring the Effects of Weekly Volume and Frequency on Muscle Hypertrophy and Strength Gains.
The study found that doing more sets leads to more muscle growth, even after accounting for other factors. This goes against the idea that only how tired you get matters, not how many sets you do.
Gold Standard Evidence Needed
According to GRADE and EBM methodology, here is what ideal scientific evidence would look like to definitively prove or disprove this specific claim, ordered from strongest to weakest evidence.